Tri Valley Herald - Rating the EBAL Athletes at NCS MOC
|Rating EBAL athletes' chances in NCS' MOC|
|By Dennis Miller, STAFF WRITER|
Inside Bay Area
|BERKELEY — The road to the state makes its final qualifying stop this weekend at Edwards Stadium at the North Coast Section Meet of Champions.
The top four in each event automatically qualify for next weekend's CIF State Meet at Cerritos College in Norwalk. Athletes may also earn a berth to state, even if they finish out of the top four, by hitting an automatic qualifying standard.
The meet starts today with the trials for all the running events — except for the finals-only 3,200 meters — as well as the finals in six field events. The discus, high jump and triple jump on the girls side, as well as the pole vault, shot put and triple jump for the boys, will all be finals today and start at 10 a.m.
The running trials begin at 1 p.m. and wrap up around 6 p.m. The finals for all the running events, as well as the remaining field events, are Saturday.
Following is an event-by-event breakdown where East Bay Athletic League entrants are concerned, with analysis of their chances to make the state meet. All times listed in the preview are qualifying times for the meet, not necessarily the athletes best mark/time this year.
100—Mark Miller of San Ramon Valley is the best of the locals, but seven other runners come in with better qualifying times. A spot in the finals would be a huge day for Miller.
200—Ryan Vandersloot of San Ramon Valley has seven people in front of him and would do well to earn a spot in the finals.
400—Geren Taylor of Monte Vista is the lone local entrant, but the senior has his work cut out for him and would need a big race to earn a spot in the finals. If he gets there, anything could happen.
800—Chris Simpson of Monte Vista dropped the 1,600 to focus on this race, and he's as tough as they come, so figure the MV senior to be in the mix in Saturday's final. Three runners come in with better times, but Simpson was coming off his Senior Ball last week and should go lower this week.
1,600—Realistically, the EBAL will be on the outside looking in here. The field is so tough, Simpson, the best in the EBAL, dropped the race to focus on the 800.
3,200—There's six better qualifying times than Bryan Chow's of Granada, leaving the Granada sophomore with his work cut out for him.
110 HH—Well, let's see, David Klech of California could spot the field a hurdle and still advance here. Klech's time of 13.85 is the best mark by almost a second, a huge time difference in this race.
300 IH—OK, here Klech could spot the field almost two hurdles and still qualify. His time coming in is almost three seconds better than anyone else. The defending state champ rolls to another NCS crown here.
4x100 relay—San Ramon Valley has the best local qualifying time at 43.07, but there are five teams ahead of the Wolves. Still, anything can happen over the course of two days with the baton. The Wolves need the breaks to go their way.
4x400 relay—Monte Vista's boys are actually sitting on the bubble for a chance to go to state, and a strong performance in the trials could be the confidence boost the Mustangs need to put them over the top.
HJ—Brandon Adams of San Ramon should win this event, but the high jump is always a bit tricky this time of year and full of surprises. Look for Brandon Sheppard, also of San Ramon to take a run at advancing as well.
LJ—Four come in with better marks than Klech, but expect the Cal senior to be standing on the medal stand, state meet berth in pocket.
TJ—Sam Huie of San Ramon has the No. 3 mark coming in, but this is always an event where people PR every year. It's wide open for the field to get one of the four spots.
SP—Chris Krychev of Monte Vista won the Tri-Valley meet by 6 feet and has the best qualifying mark by more than 2 feet here. If the Monte Vista junior keeps on the path he's been going, the state finals could be a reality. Donald Romero of Amador Valley could sneak in to one of the top four with a big day as well.
Discus—Krychev had a bad day at the Tri-Valley meet and still comes in with the fourth-best qualifying mark. Ryan Hughes of Foothill is just back of Krychev in this wide-open event.
PV—Sophomore Justin Miller of California comes in tied with three other vaulters for the third-best qualifying mark at 14-0. He's gone 14-6 this year, and if he matches that again, he should be bound for state.
100—Kelly Fogarty of San Ramon first needs to worry about making the finals, and she's drawn a break by drawing the same heat as Logan's Kristina Davis who has the second best qualifying time. If she makes the finals, she could be in the mix.
200—Fogarty (25.73) probably has a better shot here, and the key once again is making the finals. The San Ramon junior caught another break, as she's drawn the lane next to Mt. Eden's Cherrelle Garrett, easily the top qualifier at 24.67. Freshman Chelsey Kamson of Cal is one of only two freshmen in the field.
400—Sophomore Dani Glaeser of Foothill is on the bubble for a spot as she comes in with the No.4 qualifying time. But there are 11 girls in the field who have gone under 1 minute, so expect a great race in the finals — and a battle just to get to the finals.
800—Brett Zorich of Monte Vista comes in with the third-best time (2:18.53) and is a very gutsy runner. As long as she makes the finals, you have to give Zorich a solid chance to make the top four.
1,600—Diana George of Livermore has a solid shot to get to state, as the freshman comes in with the third-best qualifying time. As is always the case, there's no way to predict what the pace will be, but figure George in the mix when they head for home.
3,200—Daniela Gergley of Monte Vista is the lone local entrant and has the ninth-best mark. But this race always gets kind of crazy for the third and fourth spots. Anything is possible in this finals-only event.
100 IH—Not much of a chance for the locals here. Brienne Doan of Cal has a shot in the 300, but here there's just too much firepower, as six girls have times under 15 seconds.
300 LH — Four local girls qualified with Doan the best of the bunch. As long as she makes the finals, Doan could be in a blanket finish for the fourth and final spot to state.
4x100 relay—San Ramon Valley was the EBAL's best bet to make state, but the Wolves dropped the baton at the Tri-Valley meet. Monte Vista has the best EBAL qualifying time coming in at 49.86, but there are six teams with better times.
4x400 relay—Not traditionally the strongest event for the EBAL, but there's been a few times teams have snuck in for fourth and advanced. Monte Vista, California and Amador Valley all will shoot for a spot in the finals.
HJ—Stephanie Schafer of Monte Vista is the lone local entrant, but she'll need to have a big day to have a shot at the top four.
LJ—Christa Hicks of Granada is the top local qualifier but has seven girls in front of her coming in. In the past, athletes have busted out big PRs to advance to state, and Hicks will have to do just that.
TJ—Amelia Pennewell of Granada was the winner at the Tri-Valley meet at 36-8, but there are three girls who have gone over 40 feet and three more over 38 feet.
SP—Another event where it's going to be a reach for the EBAL to get a spot. There are no EBAL girls in the final flight of eight contestants.
Discus—Once again no EBAL girls in the final flight, but the discus traditionally sees people make big jumps in the PR during this meet. Sienna Brown of Monte Vista and Christina Edholm of Foothill will look to do just that.
PV—Kerry Boyle of Granada comes in with the second-best qualifying mark and will need a big day to overtake Katie Vo of Las Lomas. As long as Boyle has a good day, she'll earn a trip to state.